Skip to content

View from across the channel

I spent the last week travelling down to Lisbon from Bilbao and then back up through France. I did this on my BMW K1300s. I had to speak at a Conference nr Lisbon and I thought why not take the bike rather than fly.
Firstly, can someone explain that why it is that in Spain, Portugal and France, diesel is significantly cheaper than 95 petrol whilst in the UK the differential is the other way. There must be an element of profiteering gong on in this country.
Secondly, the sheer scale of road building that has recently gone on in Spain,Portugal and France and indeed continues to go on is staggering. Coming up from Dax, there was 40 miles of continuous work going on. In Spain, major new highways continue to be built. This shows that there is an understanding of the benefit of public works and that there are politicians who are able to get things done.
Thirdly, in Lisbon where I had to have a new rear tyre fixed at the main BMW dealership – it wa heaving with servicing and new sales in the car side of the dealership. However, interestingly they refused to take payment in any other form but cash. This shows German faith in the short term future of the Euro!
Whilst waiting, I visited the waterfront in glorious sunshine. New developments with many new apartments for sale and half the cafes that had only recently opened, now closed and boarded up
In all the trip I had not the slightest problem getting a hotel room, although half the price in Iberia than they were in France.
Finally, if you want some really spectacular motorcycling, head for the mountains in the middle of Portugal

Some reflections on the last 4 days of political upheaval in the UK

As the mainstream political parties scrabble around trying to find answers to the UKIP upsurge it is worth reflecting how out of touch the Parties are with middle England. The Metropolitan elite, which includes the media, cannot break out of it’s Westminster focus. The broadsheets dissected the UKIP surge and sought answers from a whole range of pundits, think tanks and lobby groups – conveniently all based in Westminster. The BBC went out round the country but then returned to Westminster to get the same groups to reflect. UKIP made little progress in London, so how can the Metropolitan elite have any feeling for the performance of UKIP across the country?

Two exceptions to this were Rod Liddle in the Sunday Times – acerbic as ever, and a thought provoking piece by Lord Glasman in The Times, which should be required reading by all the leadership and policy wonks within the Labour Party, arguing that the Party needs to address the basic issues of immigration and welfare and that the Party is too middle class.

Europe continues to haunt the political class. Much talk is of reform – but will it be meaningful? No one is making the case for remaining at the heart of Europe and the argument will have to go like this. “We believe that this country reaps enormous benefits from being part of the EU, particularly in terms of business and jobs. There are however some downsides. One of which is that free trade also means the free movement of people. So we will continue to see substantial immigration into this country”

To me the UKIP surge is a result of Globalisation. The skilled will reap the rewards, the unskilled will see their living standards relentlessly under pressure. You cannot pay people on the other side of the globe a few dollars a day to produce goods that are shipped across the globe and cannot expect it to have an impact in cities and towns across the UK.

However, finally back to the media. The BBC has opened up a major base in Manchester (Salford) and invested millions in Media City.

Why not give it some real clout and rather just focusing on sport and the sofa, put some political muscle there.

UKIP, a flash in the pan – I don’t think so. Who else speaks for the non-empowered?

The wider challenges posed by the latest ONS migration figures

The figures on net migration from the ONS highlight the vital need for a substantial increase in the number of houses we are building, already substantially below that required in many parts of the country. They also highlight the increasing need for ever greater  investment in public services-roads/ rail/ hospitals/ police. It is no coincidence that another major story breaking today focuses on elderly  patients sent home from hospital in the middle of the night because of a shortage of beds.
A rapid rise in population and immigration is putting a relentless squeeze on public services.

The ONS figure show that we had net migration of 212,000 in 2013. Much is made of how the Government is failing to manage this. Of equal concern must be the make up. To get to the net figure we should understand that 526,000 moved into the UK during the year and 314,000 left.
What if a large proportion of the 526k are unskilled and an equally large proportion of the 314k are skilled. This would hardly be the backcloth for a successful productive economy.
Much work need to be done on breaking down these figures.

Yet again Migration numbers have been shown to have been seriously underestimated

The ONS has reported that it failed to count an estimated 350,000 migrants in the decade to 2011 because it focused on interviewing passengers at principal airports rather than regional airports where many immigrants from Eastern Europe were arriving – Unbelievable, and surely any statistician worth his salt should have factored this in.

Significantly, revisions also show that net migration in the years from 1997-2010 was 3.8m. That is the difference between those leaving he country and coming here.

In other words every year during that period a population the size of Nottingham was being created, for 13 years in succession.

Is it any wonder that we have a housing crisis and a housing bubble in London. We need to be building houses on a truly vast scale to house this net migration, never mind to replace existing stock and an increasing birth rate.

It is about time we had some honesty, and politicians of all sides explained to the public just how they are going to do this.

 

Joined Up Government are we any nearer getting there?

The Government, quite rightly, is trying to clamp down on the growing claim culture within the UK. The Dept. for Justice is working with Insurance Companies on areas such as whiplash.

Yesterday, My wife badly twisted her ankle and went to the local A+E. There she was given a booklet on how to ease the pain and improve recovery. This was clearly branded as an NHS publication. The back page of this was given over to a full page advert for a claims solicitor. “If you’ve been injured in an accident, call our FREE helpline for legal advice on making a claim” Should the NHS seriously be encouraging it’s patients and the public to use these companies?

There is growing outrage over the cost of parking at NHS hospitals. Have we now sunk so low that we have to get these companies to sponsor official publications?

 

Image

The Bank of England at last wakes up to the threat of house price rises – too late as ever

As with gauging the strength of the recovery, the Bank of England, is always at least two steps behind when it comes to understanding what is going on in the housing market in London and the South East.
Fuelled by the ludicrous “help to buy scheme” and vast quantities of cheap money that has nowhere to go, prices are sky rocketing.
As an example my daughter is looking to buy her first place in London. £250k for a one bedroom flat in Streatham (just reflect on that). She had a call from the agent on Friday saying there was one available. She said she would go round the next day. “Too late there are 10 people viewing this afternoon”. This has the smell of 1987 when I was similarly looking, and we know what followed that.
Look at the growth figures that are coming out from the Business Groups.
The UK economy is powering ahead based on housing and consumer expenditure. The Bank of England has first to recognise this and then think about how it is going to slow this down without a catastrophic impact.

Why HS2 is needed – now and not in the distant future

Another day and more problems on the West Coast. Signalling problems in Staffordshire mean yet more cancellations and delays. This is not a rare occurrence and you are left with the unmistakable conclusion is that this is a rail line operating on the absolute edge.
Despite the billions that were spent the system monotonously falls over.
Sticking plasters cannot do the job.
We simply have to build more capacity, delivered by capable engineers and by operators that are customer focused.
@HS2ltd

Immigration and the impact on British Jobs – a side issue

The @BBCNewsnight story on the specific impact on of immigration on British Jobs is a relevant issue but there are other equally pressing concerns. “Whether for every additional 100 immigrants 23 British workers would not be employed” or whether it is less, what we do know is that there are 917,000 young British unemployed. The priority for a cohesive society has to be to get them into work, and fast.

More importantly, we also know for a fact is that there was net migration into this country last year of 212,000 – or put it another way a city the size of Northampton or Norwich was created.

Where are these people to live? We cannot build enough homes to house or already rapidly growing population and added to this the growth of population is focused on London and the South East. The result is a housing price bubble in the south East that shows no sign of cooling. Great for those who already own houses, but what about our children.

So when senior politicians say that putting “any target on migration is totally impractical, cannot be delivered and would do great damage to the economy” are they really thinking through the implications of this?

The wider debate as increasingly being articulated by Nigel Farage, is just what sort sort of country and society do we want?

It has to be more than economic efficiency. It can be of little surprise that the economy continues to grow when migration and population is growing at such a pace. But at what cost?

What we need is a real debate on what sort of future we want for this country. How do WE want to see it in 25 years, rather than just being at the mercy of a globalised market.

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 137 other followers